[RogerGoodellSucks]

Which team has the best chance to go from last place to first place in their division?

I am going with the Chiefs. They have a division in which no one team really stands out to take it, they will be getting a lot of guys back who were hurt last year and have a new HC who I like in Romeo Crennel.

[seanbrock]

Had a hard time choosing between Tampa Bay and KC. Went with The Bucs because worst to first is the name of the game in the NFCS and the defending champs are already looking more than shaky.

[Barracuda]

I feel the Bills could be a surprise team. They fell apart last year at the end but they have some solid pieces and they had a pretty good off-season. I don't see them taking it from the Patriots but I think they have one of the better chances of any of the other teams.

[Bay]

I've been feeling very pro-Redskin lately. I'll say them.

[oochymp]

gotta go with the Chefs, they were decimated by injuries last year and are in probably the worst division in the league, if they can stay healthy I'd almost be surprised if they don't win the AFCW

[SteVo]

This came down to the Chiefs and the Redskins for me, and I think the Redskins have a better chance simply because the NFC East is so wild. Never know what to expect from that division. The Chiefs, on the other hand, do have an easy division to work with, but I still think they need a good quarterback before they can make the playoffs.

[SteVo]

jagsr4real, on 06 June 2012 - 07:20 PM, said:

seriously the jags arent even a choice.

they have a good shot at being plus 500 if Blaine steps his game up.

Because they didn't finish last in their respective division. Believe it or not, there was a team worse than the Jaguars in the AFC South last season.

Dumbass.

[WindyCitySports]

Chiefs for me. I like their chances.

[DonovanMcnabb for H.O.F]

The Chiefs are the obvious choice. Im not entirely sold of them because of the guy at QB and I don't see them winning the division.

My choice is the Rams and/or Cardinals. Im not sold that the division will go to the 49ers, and if the Rams can stay healthy, they can compete.

This post has been edited by DonovanMcnabb for H.O.F: 06 June 2012 - 10:16 PM

[RazorStar]

The Chiefs may have been last, but they were only a game out of first with all of their injuries slowing them down. They come back with strengthened lines and healthy skill position players, and they can get the 9 wins needed to win the AFC West.

The Bills and Redskins would be the other teams that I think would have a decent shot at it. The Browns, Colts, Rams and Vikings are a big stretch, and the Bucs are an enigma coated in secret sauce.

[BigBen07]

I'm going with the Chiefs.

[seanbrock]

Really surprised to see the Bucs get no love here. Solid young football team in a division that has been up and down the past 15 or so years.

[BC]

The Bucs. They were banged up last year. Added Vincent Jackson, had the best draft (Lavonte David, Doug Martin, Mark Barron). The Saints defense is going to take a big hit, no notable draft picks, and lost a top guard. They should fall 3-4 wins. History shows the sophomore year is a tough one for quarterbacks (Cam Newton) They will definetely have their hands full with the Falcons, however, especially if Talib isn't there to help them.

[DonovanMcnabb for H.O.F]

seanbrock, on 07 June 2012 - 03:46 AM, said:

Really surprised to see the Bucs get no love here. Solid young football team in a division that has been up and down the past 15 or so years.

At least the Chiefs won a fairly high number of games with the injuries they suffered.

The Bucs defense last year was one of the absolute worst in the NFL... And while there always seems to be a defense going from worst to top 5 top 10, I don't see that being the Bucs. They didn't make enough moves in the offseason, and arguably their best player on defense (McCoy) has yet to of played a full season.

IMO, the Falcons have the best chance of dethroning the Saints.

[housemd]

I'll go with Chiefs..They are in a relatively easy division,there are no favorites and they could easily win the AFC West this season..

[GA_Eagle]

I dunno. Bucs, Rams, Colts and Chiefs all could be in the mix.

[Thanatos19]

seanbrock, on 07 June 2012 - 03:46 AM, said:

Really surprised to see the Bucs get no love here. Solid young football team in a division that has been up and down the past 15 or so years.

I think it's more because the NFC South >>>>> the AFC West.

I think the Bucs will be good this year too, but all four of the NFCS teams are probably going to be at least decent.

Whereas the Chiefs were in last place, yes, but they were only a game out of first.

[Thanatos19]

BC, on 07 June 2012 - 05:15 AM, said:

The Bucs. They were banged up last year. Added Vincent Jackson, had the best draft (Lavonte David, Doug Martin, Mark Barron). The Saints defense is going to take a big hit, no notable draft picks, and lost a top guard. They should fall 3-4 wins. History shows the sophomore year is a tough one for quarterbacks (Cam Newton) They will definetely have their hands full with the Falcons, however, especially if Talib isn't there to help them.

I'm not saying Cam will not hit a sophomore slump, but history actually shows the opposite of what you're suggesting.

Quote

Dump the Slump
To determine if the Sophomore Slump exists I analyzed data from pro-football-reference.com of quarterbacks over the past 20 years who threw for at least 2,500 yards in their rookie season and retained their starting position in their second year (data here). In all, 12 quarterbacks met these criteria.
As a whole, these 12 quarterbacks saw noticeable statistical improvement in their second seasons when compared to their rookie years:
1st Year Average: QB Rating - 75, Yards/Gm - 196, Completions - 58%, Interceptions - 3.6%
2nd Year Average: QB Rating - 84, Yards/Gm - 213, Completions - 59%, Interceptions - 2.6%
On average, rookie quarterbacks who retained their starting roles for their entire sophomore years (which Newton and Dalton will likely do) improved upon their QR rating, yards per game, completion percentage, and threw fewer interceptions.
(Note: Chris Weinke and Matt Leinart threw for more than 2,500 yards as rookies but did not retain their starting roles in Year 2 and are therefore not included in the above analysis.)
Sophomore Slump? More like "Sophomore Surge"

This post has been edited by Thanatos19: 07 June 2012 - 03:36 PM

[Shotgun]

Like many others I'll go with the Chiefs. I don't see the Bucs beating out the Falcons for 1st place. They might be horrible in the playoffs, but they've played very well as a team during the regular season.

[oochymp]

Thanatos19, on 07 June 2012 - 03:30 PM, said:

I think it's more because the NFC South >>>>> the AFC West.

I definitely think the Bucs will be better, but they've got too much competition for me to think they'll win the division, I'd call the NFCS a toss up at this point, but I'd go as far as to call the Chiefs the favorites in the AFCW