ramsftw3's Profile
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- February 5, 1992
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- Kansas Jayhawks
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In Topic: Week 14 Pick Em
08 December 2012 - 09:21 PM
Vin, on 05 December 2012 - 06:28 PM, said:Razor wins week 13 outright by going 13-3. Fitting.
Week 13 Results:
Razor: 13-3
Bay: 11-5
PD2010: 11-5
PiB: 11-5
Jayrus: 11-5
CWGS: 11-5
JF4L: 11-5
Trident: 10-6
ATL: 10-6
House: 10-6
Eefluxx: 10-6
ramsftw3: 10-6
Vin: 9-7
Thanatos: 9-7
Ngata: 9-7
NYGFH: 9-7
BWare: 9-7
F4E: 9-7
Chris D: 9-7
Cuda: 9-7
SteVo: 9-7
MDFinFan: 9-7
Dutch: 9-7
Zack: 8-8
NBB: 8-8
Ranga: 7-9
Overall Results:
NYGFH: 132-60
ATL: 131-61
NBB: 126-66
House:128-64
Jayrus:125-67
Ngata:122-70
PD2010:123-69
Stevo:119-73
-Badgers: 110-66
BWare:118-74
CWGS: 120-72
Eefluxx:119-73
Thanatos: 117-75
Trident: 118-74
Bay:119-73
Vin: 116-76
Razor:119-73
ChrisD:113-79
Cuda:113-79
Zack: 112-80
F4E:112-80
JF4L:123-53
MDFinFan: 109-68
Dutch:103-73
PackisBack: 101-77
Socal: 91-55
Ranga: 87-62
Romo: 84-62
Sarge: 75-46
Mikey: 61-60
Milla:37-39
ravens:46-25
FW:42-35
BC:28-32
Phins:29-14
Mav:25-23
blots:19-9
ramsftw3: 10-6
NFL-Lady:10-6
BenGone:9-7
Shotgun:8-8
eaglesfan4:8-6
Sean: 6-10
I picked the Broncos (10-3) beating the Raiders (3-10), so I'm 1-0 so far.
Cardinals (4-8) @ Seahawks (7-5)=The Seahawks beat the Cardinals 31-7.
Rams (5-6-1) @ Bills (5-7)=The Rams beat the Bills 27-23.
Eagles (3-9) @ Buccaneers (6-6)=The Buccaneers beat the Eagles 34-16.
Chiefs (2-10) @ Browns (4-8)=The Browns beat the Chiefs 13-10.
Saints (5-7) @ Giants (7-5)=The Giants beat the Saints 31-27.
Dolphins (5-7) @ 49ers (8-3-1)=The 49ers beat the Dolphins 16-13.
Falcons (11-1) @ Panthers (3-9)=The Falcons beat the Panthers 28-24.
Chargers (4-8) @ Steelers (7-5)=The Steelers beat the Chargers 17-13.
Ravens (9-3) @ Redskins (6-6)=The Redskins beat the Ravens 24-23.
Bears (8-4) @ Vikings (6-6)=The Bears beat the Vikings 30-27.
Titans (4-8) @ Colts (8-4)=The Titans upset the Colts 20-17.
Jets (5-7) @ Jaguars (2-10)=The Jets beat the Jaguars 19-13.
Cowboys (6-6) @ Bengals (7-5)=The Bengals beat the Cowboys 33-13.
Lions (4-8) @ Packers (8-4)=The Packers beat the Lions 34-23.
Texans (11-1) @ Patriots (9-3)=The Patriots beat the Texans 23-20. -
In Topic: What are the odds your team makes the playoffs?
04 December 2012 - 06:19 PM
RazorStar, on 04 December 2012 - 12:24 PM, said:Interesting stuff here at this website. Basically they run a shit ton of simulation for each season, and get the percentages by calculating the results of those simulations. Using the Bill James "Pythagorean Theorem" and the flip a coin of method, they have two different sets of odds for the playoffs. I'm just posting the "smart" method they have.
AFC:
Houston: 98.0% Division Win, 2.0% Wild Card berth, 100% chance of Playoffs
New England 100% Division
Denver 100% Division
Baltimore 83.5% Division Win, 13.5% Wild Card berth, 99.0% chance of playoffs
Indianapolis 2.0% Division Win, 75.0% Wild Card, 77.0% chance of playoffs
Pittsburgh 10.3% Division Win, 60.8% Wild Card, 71.2% chance of playoffs
Cincinnati 6.2% Division Win, 40.2% Wild Card, 48.4% chance of playoffs
New York Jets 2.7% Chance of Wild Card
Buffalo 2.4% Chance of Wild Card
Miami 0.9% Chance of Wild Card
San Diego 0.4% chance of Wild Card
Cleveland 0.1% chance of Wild Card
Tennessee 0.1% chance of Wild Card
NFC
Atlanta 100% Division
San Fran 84.3 Div, 14.3 WC, 98.6 playoffs
Chicago 48.2 Div, 42.7 WC, 90.7 playoffs
Green Bay 50.4 Div, 36.8 WC, 87.1 playoffs
Seattle 15.6 Div, 63.0 WC, 78.6 playoffs
New York Giants 52.1 Div, 15.8 WC, 67.9 playoffs
Washington 28.6 Div, 7.2 WC, 35.8 playoffs
Dallas 19.3 Div, 2.2 WC, 21.5 playoffs
Tampa Bay 7.9% Wild Card
Minnesota 1.4 Div, 5.4 WC, 6.8 playoffs
St. Louis 0.1 Div, 2.7 WC, 2.8 playoffs
New Orleans 2.0% Wild Card
Detroit and Arizona, <0.1% Wild Card
Philadelphia <0.1% Division
http://www.coolstand...m=s&sn=2012&v=d
We have the best divisional record after beating the 49ers for the second time in three years and successfully sweeping the Cardinals. Beating the Seahawks in Centurylink Field with Russel Wilson being healthy will be tough, and I expect that Marshawn Lynch will run all over us. A side from all of this, our next thre opponents before we play the Seahawks are the Bills (5-7), the Vikings (6-6) and the Buccaneers (6-6) who are definitely beatable. Steven Jackson will finally break loose against the Bills, Sam Bradford will tear up the Buccaneers horrid pass defense and the game against the Vikings will really be 'Steven Jackson versus Adrian Peterson' not 'Christian Ponder versus Sam Bradford' actually. Do I think that we still have a blind chance at a wild card spot knowing that we have the tiebreaker over every team and that we're less than two games back with an easy schedule including the fact that the we play the team with the current sixth seed in the final week? Yes, I think that we have a good chance at silently making it in. -
In Topic: Week 13 Pick 'Em
30 November 2012 - 08:26 PM
Vin, on 27 November 2012 - 09:25 PM, said:Week 12 results:
Bay: 14-2
Trident: 13-3
ATL: 13-3
Eefluxx: 12-4
PD2012: 12-4
House: 12-4
Cuda: 12-4
Razor: 11-5
NBB: 11-5
Jayrus: 11-5
NYGFH: 11-5
Vin: 10-6
Sarge: 10-6
Thanatos: 10-6
Ranga: 10-6
Chris D: 10-6
JF4L: 10-6
Badgers: 10-6
SteVo: 10-6
MDFinFan: 9-7
Ngata: 9-7
F4E: 9-7
CWGS: 9-7
Bware: 8-8
Zack: 8-8
Mikey: 7-9
PiB: 6-10
Overall results:
NYGFH: 123-53
ATL: 121-55
NBB: 118-58
House:118-58
Jayrus:114-62
Ngata:113-63
PD2010:112-64
Stevo:110-66
Badgers: 110-66
BWare:109-67
CWGS: 109-67
Eefluxx:109-67
Thantos: 108-68
Trident: 108-68
Bay:108-68
Vin: 107-69
Razor:106-70
Zack: 104-72
ChrisD:104-72
Cuda:104-72
F4E:103-73
JF4L:112-48
MDFinFan: 100-61
Dutch:94-66
PackisBack: 90-72
Socal:91-55
Romo:84-62
Sarge: 75-46
Mikey: 61-60
Ranga: 80-53
Milla:37-39
ravens:46-25
FW:42-35
BC:28-32
Phins:29-14
Mav:25-23
blots:19-9
NFL-Lady:10-6
BenGone:9-7
Shotgun:8-8
eaglesfan4:8-6
Sean: 6-10
Week 13:
Saints @ Falcons (TNF)
Texans @ Titans
Colts @ Lions
Jags @ Bills
Seahawks @ Bears
49ers @ Rams
Vikings @ Packers
Panthers @ Chiefs
Pats @ Dolphins
Cards @ Jets
Bucs @ Broncos
Browns @ Raiders
Bengals @ Chargers
Steelers @ Ravens
Eagles @ Cowboys (SNF)
Giants @ Redskins (MNF)
Tiebreaker:
I did pick the Falcons over the Saints, but my post got deleted. You guys don't have to count it though (I have a link to it with the exact day if proof would help me out here).
Texans (10-1) @ Titans=The Texans beat the Titans 41-17.
Colts (7-4) @ Lions (4-7)=The Lions upset the Colts 27-20.
Jaguars (2-9) @ Bills (4-7)=The Buffalo Bills beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 26-7.
Seahawks (6-5) @ Bears (8-3)=The Chicago Bears beat the Seattle Seahawks 16-13.
49ers (8-2-1) @ Rams (4-6-1)=The 49ers beat the Rams 27-24.
Vikings (6-5) @ Packers (7-4)=The Green Bay Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings 26-23.
Panthers (3-8) @ Chiefs (1-10)=The Panthers beat the Chiefs 27-7.
Patriots (8-3) @ Dolphins (5-6)=The Patriots beat the Dolphins 34-27.
Cardinals (4-7) @ Jets (4-7)=The Jets beat the Cardinals 34-20.
Buccaneers (6-5) @ Broncos (8-3)=The Broncos beat the Buccaneers 31-27.
Browns (3-8) @ Raiders (3-8)=The Browns beat the Raiders 20-17.
Bengals (6-5) @ Chargers (4-7)=The Bengals beat the Chargers 23-13.
Steelers (6-5) @ Ravens (9-2)=The Ravens beat the Steelers 20-13 to make the Steelers fall to 6-6.
Eagles (3-8) @ Cowboys (5-6)=The Cowboys beat the Eagles 33-17.
Giants (7-4) @ Redskins (5-6)=The Redskins upset the Giants 23-22 to make the NFC East a three-way divisional battle. -
In Topic: What are your predictions the playoffs this year?
28 November 2012 - 06:02 PM
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In Topic: What are your predictions the playoffs this year?
26 November 2012 - 04:52 PM
The AFC: 1. The Houston Texans (10-1)-They are definitely the top team in the AFC, and they can prove that by beating the Patriots in two weeks.
2. The Baltimore Ravens (9-2)-They escaped with a win in San Diego, but could Joe Flacco make his first superbowl appearance this year?
3. The New England Patriots (8-3)
4. The Denver Broncos (8-3)-The lackluster 17-9 win over the Chiefs was certainly ugly and it did show weaknesses on offense still, a huge concern for when they are playing top teams in the playoffs.
5. The Indianapolis Colts (7-4)-The Indianapolis Colts are a decent team with Andrew Luck, but they aren't an elite team.
6. The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5)-It's been shown that the Steelers have little depth on offense without Ben Roethlisberger (despite Mike Wallace) and they are in danger of falling to 6-6 after they play the Ravens.
Still in the race:
7. The Cincinnati Bengals (6-5)-Winning four of their next five games will give them a playoff spot as long as one of the wins happens to be over the Steelers. They did demolish the Raiders last week, but they have the look and the feeling of an average team still.
8. The Miami Dolphins (5-6)-They are still in it, but the Patriots and the 49ers will probably end their playoff chances within the next two weeks. Ryan Tannehill did play alright yesterday though.
The NFC:
1. The Atlanta Falcons (10-1)-Matt Ryan put up some big number against the Buccaneers yesterday, but they were still seconds away from losing.
2. The San Francisco 49ers (8-2-1)-They made Drew Brees look like an awful quarterback yesterday, and Drew Brees is one of the top quarterbacks.
3. The Chicago Bears (8-3)-Jay Cutler has another test next week against the Seahawks. Do you think that he can do it?
4. The New York Giants (7-4)-When was the last time that a game between the Giants and the Redskins actually meant something?
5. The Green Bay Packers (7-4)-They aren't an elite team, but they still are extremely good.
6. The Seattle Seahawks (6-5)-Losing the Dolphins may not mean much, but it sure made me wonder if Ryan Tannehill was just better than we all thought he was or if the Seahawks defense choked. They fortunately haven't lost any ground for a wildcard spot though.
In the race:
7. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5)-Josh Freeman deserves more credit, which is why it's unfortunate that he plays in the same division as Matt Ryan and Drew Brees. Doug Martin deserves more credit, which is why it's unfortunate that he's in the same conference as Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch.
8. The Minnesota Vikings (6-5)-They really are just an average team in rebuilding mode still, but wouldn't it be amazing if Christian Ponder was to guide the Vikings into the playoffs?
9. The Dallas Cowboys (5-6)-They need to beat the hapless Eagles and they need the Redskins to upset the Giants in order for the NFC East to become a race again.
10. The Washington Redskins (5-6)-See the comment for the New York Giants up above.
11. The New Orleans Saints (5-6)-Does anybody else see the similarities between this years Saints and the 2007 New Orleans Saints? It's as if they went back in time again.
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